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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

MORECAMBE vs. NEWPORT COUNTY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Morecambe vs. Newport County.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Morecambe
(ELO score: 3466)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Newport County
(ELO score: 3443)
TOTAL 1 1 1
Home 1 0 1
Away 0 1 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
17 JAN 2004 LGE Macclesfield Town  
(3466)  
0 - 1   Cambridge United
  (3443)
12.3
30 NOV 2002 LGE Oxford United  
(3466)  
1 - 0   Lincoln City
  (3443)
7.5
7 NOV 1998 LGE Swansea City  
(3443)  
0 - 0   Peterborough United
  (3466)
1.3

 

A historical comparison of Morecambe's and Newport County's ELO scores.


  Morecambe   Newport County  
  Current ELO Score: 3466.2   3443.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3611.3  
Tuesday, September 28, 2021  
3779.8  
Monday, April 4, 1983  
  Worst ELO Score: 3338.9  
Tuesday, September 12, 1995  
2980.4  
Saturday, January 7, 2006  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Morecambe and Newport County.

 Venue Played Morecambe
wins
Draws Newport County
wins
Morecambe
goals
Newport County
goals
Morecambe
SR%
Newport County
SR%
 TOTAL 20 9 4 7 30 28 55.0% 45.0%
 NEUTRAL 1 1 0 0 1 0 100.0% 0.0%
 HOME 10 5 1 4 16 14 55.0% 45.0%
 AWAY 9 3 3 3 13 14 50.0% 50.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
12 MAR 2024 LGE Newport County  
(3522)  
5 - 3   Morecambe
  (3537)
14.1
28 NOV 2023 LGE Morecambe  
(3552)  
1 - 2   Newport County
  (3489)
12.8
6 NOV 2021 CUP Morecambe  
(3562)  
1 - 0   Newport County
  (3552)
4.3
31 MAY 2021 CUP Morecambe  
(3562)  
1 - 0   Newport County
  (3548)
9.6
13 MAR 2021 LGE Morecambe  
(3522)  
1 - 3   Newport County
  (3539)
16
5 DEC 2020 LGE Newport County  
(3581)  
2 - 1   Morecambe
  (3437)
5.2
7 MAR 2020 LGE Newport County  
(3476)  
1 - 0   Morecambe
  (3417)
7.2
21 DEC 2019 LGE Morecambe  
(3385)  
2 - 1   Newport County
  (3540)
13.2
4 MAY 2019 LGE Morecambe  
(3465)  
1 - 1   Newport County
  (3559)
1.5
27 OCT 2018 LGE Newport County  
(3517)  
1 - 1   Morecambe
  (3397)
4.3
23 JAN 2018 LGE Newport County  
(3534)  
1 - 1   Morecambe
  (3416)
4.2
16 SEP 2017 LGE Morecambe  
(3391)  
2 - 1   Newport County
  (3483)
11.5
14 MAR 2017 LGE Morecambe  
(3436)  
0 - 1   Newport County
  (3387)
12.4
21 FEB 2017 LGE Newport County  
(3400)  
1 - 1   Morecambe
  (3447)
0.3
30 JAN 2016 LGE Morecambe  
(3481)  
1 - 2   Newport County
  (3449)
12
12 SEP 2015 LGE Newport County  
(3423)  
1 - 2   Morecambe
  (3523)
8.3
21 FEB 2015 LGE Newport County  
(3518)  
0 - 1   Morecambe
  (3470)
12.5
16 AUG 2014 LGE Morecambe  
(3477)  
3 - 2   Newport County
  (3455)
8.2
11 MAR 2014 LGE Morecambe  
(3459)  
4 - 1   Newport County
  (3483)
16.7
14 SEP 2013 LGE Newport County  
(3485)  
2 - 3   Morecambe
  (3501)
10.7